how to calculate daily volatility of a stock in excel?

cullisoncullisonauthor

Volatility is a critical factor for investors to consider when making decisions about stock purchases and sales. It represents the magnitude of price changes in a stock over a specific period of time, usually one trading day. Understanding the volatility of a stock can help investors make better investment decisions and manage risk more effectively. This article will provide a step-by-step guide on how to calculate the daily volatility of a stock in Microsoft Excel.

Step 1: Prepare the Data

First, gather the stock price data for the selected stock. This can be obtained from various stock exchange websites or financial data providers. The data should include the closing price for each trading day in a specific period, for example, one month or one year.

Step 2: Calculate the Simple Moving Average (SMA)

The simple moving average (SMA) is a common technique for smoothing the price data and providing an overview of the overall trend. Calculate the SMA by adding the closing prices of each trading day and dividing by the number of days. For example, calculate the SMA for 20 trading days by doing the following:

1. Enter the closing prices of each trading day in separate cells, e.g. A1:A21.

2. In cell B1, enter "SMA".

3. In cell B2, enter the formula "=SUM(A1:A21)" to calculate the total closing prices for 20 days.

4. In cell B3, enter the formula "=B2/20" to calculate the SMA.

Step 3: Calculate the Daily Volatility

To calculate the daily volatility, first determine the range of the stock price for each trading day. For example, if the stock price opened at $10 and closed at $12 on a particular day, the range would be $2 (10 - 8 = 2).

1. Enter the closing prices of each trading day in separate cells, e.g. C1:C21.

2. In cell D1, enter "Volatility".

3. In cell D2, enter the formula "=B3-C2" to calculate the difference between the SMA and the closing price for that day.

4. In cell D3, enter the formula "=ABS(D2)" to calculate the absolute value of the difference, which represents the range for that day.

5. In cell D4, enter the formula "=D3/30" to calculate the average range for 30 days. This will be the baseline for calculating the daily volatility.

6. In cell D5, enter the formula "=(D4-C4)/(30/24)" to calculate the daily volatility. Here, we are dividing the average range by the number of days in a trading day (24 for stocks with daily trading, 30 for stocks with weekly trading).

Step 4: Format and Present the Results

Format the results in a way that is easy to understand and present visually. For example, you can create a chart showing the daily volatility over time or display the results in a table with headers such as "Date", "Daily Volatility" and "Range".

Calculating the daily volatility of a stock in Excel is a straightforward process that can help investors better understand the price fluctuations and manage risk more effectively. By following this guide, you can now effectively analyze the volatility of a stock and make informed investment decisions.

comment
Have you got any ideas?